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CardiacASCVD

ASCVD Risk Calculator

Estimate 10- and 30-year ASCVD risk with the AHA PREVENT equations.

Input

years
mg/dL
mg/dL
mmHg
mL/min/1.73m²
kg/m²

10-Year ASCVD Risk

30-Year ASCVD Risk

About

The ASCVD Risk Calculator estimates a patient's 10-year ASCVD risk and 30-year risk of a first atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) event — heart attack or stroke — using the AHA PREVENT™ equations (base model), released in 2023. The resulting estimate is often called the ASCVD risk score, or simply the ASCVD score. PREVENT replaces the 2013 Pooled Cohort Equations: it is race-free, and it incorporates kidney function (eGFR) and body mass index (BMI) to reflect cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) health. It is intended for primary prevention in adults aged 30–79 without known cardiovascular disease. The calculation logic and coefficients are ported from the open-source preventr R package (MIT license), which implements Khan SS et al. (Circulation 2024).

Formula

AHA PREVENT equations (2023) — ASCVD outcome, base model
Sex-specific logistic models (separate 10-year and 30-year coefficients)
Variables: Age, Sex, Total & HDL cholesterol, Systolic BP, BP treatment, Statin use, Diabetes, Smoking, eGFR, BMI
Risk = exp(LP) / (1 + exp(LP)), where LP is the centered/scaled linear predictor
Race-free; cholesterol entered in mg/dL is converted internally to mmol/L

Interpretation

10-Year RiskCategory
< 5%Low
5% – 7.4%Borderline
7.5% – 19.9%Intermediate
≥ 20%High

These are the ACC/AHA 10-year strata; the 30-year estimate has no formally defined treatment thresholds and is most useful in younger adults. PREVENT generally yields lower 10-year estimates than the 2013 Pooled Cohort Equations, and this base model estimates ASCVD specifically (the full PREVENT model also predicts total CVD including heart failure). It is intended for primary prevention in adults 30–79 — not for patients with known ASCVD.

References

  1. Khan SS, et al. Novel Prediction Equations for Absolute Risk Assessment of Total Cardiovascular Disease Incorporating Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Health (PREVENT). Circulation. 2024;149(6):430-449.
  2. Ndumele CE, et al. Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Health: A Presidential Advisory From the American Heart Association. Circulation. 2023;148(20):1606-1635.
  3. Arnett DK, et al. 2019 ACC/AHA Guideline on the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease (source of the 10-year risk strata). Circulation. 2019;140(11):e596-e646.
  4. Mayer M. preventr: An Implementation of the AHA PREVENT Equations (R package, MIT license).

FAQ

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Disclaimer

Educational and informational reference only. Not intended to replace professional medical advice, diagnosis, treatment, or independent verification.